Articles | Volume 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/jecats-1-4-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/jecats-1-4-2026
Research article
 | 
07 Sep 2026
Research article |  | 07 Sep 2026

Trade-off and risk in mitigation options for aviation

Klaus Martin Gierens

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Short summary
Lessening of non-CO2 aviation impacts on climate is often accompanied by an increase of fuel consumption and emissions. Planning mitigation actions requires balancing the desired climate benefit against inevitable simultaneous climate damage. Due to uncertainty, statistical methods are needed to estimate the failure risk of concrete mitigation measures. This paper presents the required mathematics. 
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